The Maoists in Nepal have recently intensified their attacks against government and civilian targets. They even managed to stage a spectacular raid right inside the Kathmandu valley in which a police post was attacked resulting in deaths of a handful of policemen. Security agencies in the capital were caught off guard as Maoists planned and staged this high profile attack. Despite being able to launch attacks right inside the valley, the Maoists choice of their target was rasther mundane, a police post at Sankhu, a town in northeastern part of Kathmandu. It is not known how Maoists successfully smuggled arms right into the valley. It was reported that the rebels used automatic rifles like INSAS and AK-47. Security checks leading to Kathmandu have all but failed to check weapons smuggluing by the rebels. The government appears to be apprehensive that thorough checking will infuriate tyhe public. This misguided policy has resulted in token checking of which the current incident is an ineviatble outcome.
Rebels have been successfully utilizing mobile warfare against security forces. They never engage in territorial offensives for they know that such positional warfare would be prohibitively costly for the rebels who are inferior in equipment and material support enjoyed by the Royal Nepalese Army(RNA). So the rebel strategy is hit and run raids. Attack and disappear. RNA's only option would be to decentralize its forces, use guerilla tactics to defeat guerillas, and avoid being encircled by larger rebel force by utilizing a combination of improved situational awareness and timely intelligence. Government forces enjoy international support. However, support should not be seen as blind support. Human rights indicators if it goes unfavorably against the government could cost it international support. Therefore, the Army must enforce human rights irrespective of what the rebels decide to do.
Sunday, December 19, 2004
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