Tuesday, March 17, 2009

Dronenkrieg gegen Russland will erfolgloeisgen

http://www.iht.com/articles/2009/03/17/america/drones.php

The American government is using drones against a band of Pashtuns with no defensive capacity. However, if used against Russians in Georgia, the new band of Russian, Chinese and Indian hackers can jam and disable US Predators.

The new Warsaw pact, Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO), has defense ties with India, China and Russia along with new Central Asian states. These states do not adhere to international arms control agreements as seen in 2008 with the tarnsfer of 33 T-72 tanks to unspecified buyers in wartorn Africa. The Russian arms sale along with China's refusal to curb its Manportable Air Defense System (MANPADS), (ref: AP and AFP reports 2006-2007) handheld anti-aircraft guided missiles, will allow notorious armed groups a capability to down US or NATO aircraft in contested zones of future combat operations. In late 1990s, a US fighter aircraft, an F-16 Falcon was brought down by a Serbian operated SA-6 'Gainful' (Kub) Surface to Air Missile (SAM). The SA-6 is an old SAM unveiled in Red Square around 1967. If an upgraded SA-6 can down a US F-16 equipped with radar absorbent paint and sophisticated jammers, what will be the fate of NATO and US fourth generation aircraft to Russian designed SA-11 'Gadfly' (Buk). The Chinese and Russians are set to deploy SA-10 'Grumble' (S300) to protect their key assets like the SS-25 Sickle mobile ICBM (ref: Soviet Military Power, 1990). If Iran acquires SS-25s the whole US nuclear superiority and its deterrence policy and its security guarantee to US will collapse. The B-2 unveiled in late 1980s by John Tower (ref: Newsweek) is the only hope in this scenario.

The Russians are quickly copying stealth technology to adapt it into their next generation of interceptors. Even this author had access to mathematical calculations over stealth technology in an aerospace magazine in a third world country . Aerospace engineers employed by Iran and other Arab countries can one day build an infrastructure to rival Israel's aerospace industry and mass produce ballistic missiles. China already has a range of mobile ballistic missiles.

To challenge the supremacy of the US Navy, China has two aircraft carriers in order most likely of Russian design. Armed with MiG-29K equiped with antiship missiles, this platform allows China to flex its muscle anywhere from the Pacific to the Indian ocean. Then, Japan too would want aircraft carriers as its sailors often get in trouble with Chinese, thanks to their historical dispute over energy resources and broader supremacy issue in Asia.

Military Intelligence magazine published in US Army Intel School, Fort Huachuca, AZ predicted the Korean peninsula might go under Chinese spehere of influence as early as early 1990s. Russia too is in this great game. It has wooed Central Asian energy states to impose high rent on US bases being used to support combat operations in Afghanistan. The crux of the matter is that these authoritarian states fear US intrusion into their undemocratic political system and persecution of minorities. In the name of suppressing terrorism, Russia and China with its staellites have trampled upon ethnic rights of many of these peoples. Outright force was used in Georgia while the West watched. In 1997-1999 Kosovo crisis, Russia even threatened to despatch airborne troops to support the Serbs, in a bid to threaten NATO punitive operations against Serb mass murder supsects like Radovan Kardzic and Vojslav Seselj.

The current economic crisis and left leaning Obama administration is a boon to foreign adventurism in hotspots around the world. In Nepal, terrorists cling to power while in Africa and Venezuela is under increased Russian arms sales. The Russians have even thretatened to station Tu-95 Bears in Cuba, according to some reports. Reports say Chavez is assembling Su-27 'Flankers' to flex his oil muscle against any US attempt to support his rivals in Caracas. While cocaine wars fueled by Colombian suppliers continues in Mexico, US should revive plans to destroy the cocaine plantations just as it was done in Vietnam. Once supply is extinguished at production site, the whole supply chain will wither in one stroke and done. Millions of young lives will be saved!

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